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Ford's fight with Trump as Ontario faces job losses and trade uncertainty
Summary
Ontario reported nearly 40,000 job losses between the second and third quarters of 2025 and an unemployment rate of 7.8 per cent, and Premier Doug Ford continues to centre policy on opposing U.S. tariffs as Canada prepares for CUSMA negotiations later this year.
Content
A year after winning a third consecutive majority, Premier Doug Ford continues to make opposition to U.S. tariffs a central theme of his government. The issue remains prominent because recent U.S. tariff measures are reported to have hit Ontario's trade-exposed industries and contributed to rising joblessness. The government has used short-term measures such as tax deferrals, rebates and a retraining fund while also shifting attention to provincial reforms and approvals for major projects.
Key facts:
- Officials and experts link U.S. tariffs to thousands of layoffs in Ontario, especially affecting the auto, steel and aluminum sectors.
- Reports say Ontario lost nearly 40,000 jobs between the second and third quarters of 2025.
- The province's unemployment rate rose to 7.8 per cent last year, according to the independent fiscal watchdog.
- The Ford government implemented a six-month deferral of about $9 billion in provincially administered business taxes, a $2 billion rebate of WSIB premiums, and a $70 million retraining fund.
- Canada-U.S.-Mexico (CUSMA) negotiations are expected later this year, and the premier plans to attend meetings with U.S. governors this spring to make Ontario's case.
Summary:
The reported job losses and higher unemployment have put trade policy at the centre of Ontario's political and economic debate, and the provincial government has responded with short-term fiscal measures while pursuing longer-term economic adjustments. The next key moments include CUSMA renewal talks later this year and planned meetings between the premier and U.S. governors this spring.
